Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.020888 0.022597 0.024379 0.026379 0.028562 0.030873 0.033506
2025-09-21 0.017902 0.020326 0.022990 0.026143 0.029780 0.033851 0.038765
2025-09-28 0.016072 0.018915 0.022166 0.026171 0.030989 0.036618 0.043721
2025-10-05 0.014652 0.017749 0.021405 0.026059 0.031854 0.038866 0.048049
2025-10-12 0.013652 0.016952 0.020957 0.026201 0.032929 0.041326 0.052687
2025-10-19 0.012788 0.016230 0.020508 0.026253 0.033824 0.043538 0.057071
2025-10-26 0.012016 0.015552 0.020043 0.026214 0.034545 0.045507 0.061196
2025-11-02 0.011348 0.014953 0.019625 0.026178 0.035228 0.047418 0.065309
2025-11-09 0.010599 0.014194 0.018936 0.025717 0.035273 0.048423 0.068174
2025-11-16 0.009929 0.013497 0.018284 0.025250 0.035258 0.049309 0.070878
2025-11-23 0.009452 0.013037 0.017923 0.025157 0.035745 0.050907 0.074681
2025-11-30 0.008994 0.012574 0.017529 0.024985 0.036091 0.052293 0.078221
2025-12-07 0.008556 0.012134 0.017166 0.024869 0.036559 0.053955 0.082405
2025-12-14 0.008109 0.011660 0.016731 0.024624 0.036821 0.055325 0.086240
2025-12-21 0.007774 0.011331 0.016488 0.024646 0.037481 0.057331 0.091205
2025-12-28 0.007433 0.010972 0.016177 0.024540 0.037924 0.059005 0.095715
2026-01-04 0.007178 0.010730 0.016028 0.024672 0.038742 0.061309 0.101414
2026-01-11 0.006922 0.010471 0.015838 0.024721 0.039418 0.063407 0.106880
2026-01-18 0.006663 0.010195 0.015604 0.024685 0.039942 0.065269 0.112041
2026-01-25 0.006423 0.009936 0.015382 0.024651 0.040462 0.067141 0.117329
2026-02-01 0.006111 0.009547 0.014935 0.024219 0.040275 0.067775 0.120392
2026-02-08 0.005818 0.009176 0.014500 0.023783 0.040051 0.068323 0.123315
2026-02-15 0.005614 0.008943 0.014278 0.023696 0.040429 0.069951 0.128365